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Automation Innovation and Labor Income Share: Evidence from Cross-Country Firm-level Patent Data

2026年08月19日 15:33  

报告题目:Automation Innovation and Labor Income Share: Evidence from Cross-Country Firm-level Patent Data

报告人:张洪胜 副教授

邀请人:马雪娇 副教授

报告时间及地点:2026年8月21日 13点 经济管理学院D307

报告人简况:

张洪胜,浙江大学经济学院副教授、博士生导师,国际经济学系副主任、浙江大学中国数字贸易研究院副院长,国家级人才计划青年学者,浙江省万人计划青年拔尖人才,主持国家自然科学基金面上、青年项目、国家社科基金项目、国家社科基金重大项目子课题等省部级以上课题十项。在《中国社会科学》《经济研究》《管理世界》《世界经济》、Journal of Comparative Economics等期刊发表论文五十余篇。获浙江省哲学社会科学优秀成果奖二等奖、第二十届安子介国际贸易研究优秀论文三等奖、第七届洪银兴经济学奖(青年)、商务部商务发展研究成果奖等奖励多项,多篇成果入选中国社会科学院《世界经济年鉴》《国际贸易学年鉴》领域最佳中文论文TOP10。

报告内容摘要:

This study explores the impact of automation innovation on labor income share. We develop a model integrating task-based production with endogenous wage bargaining and innovation decisions, and show that automation innovation reduces labor income share by weakening workers' bargaining power and displacing labor-intensive tasks. The strength of these mechanisms varies with workforce adaptability and automation risk level. We test these theoretical predictions using a novel firm-level panel dataset of 10,235 firms across 65 countries from 1996 to 2015. Consistent with the model, we find that automation innovation significantly reduces the labor income share through both predicted channels. These results are robust to various specifications and endogeneity controls. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the negative effect of automation innovation on labor share is concentrated among large and very large firms, in capitalintensive and manufacturing sectors, in countries with weaker labor regulations, and in developing economies.

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